Month: January 2023

  • Natural Disasters = Higher Premiums

    We are certainly living in unique times of record-setting weather-related climate-change catastrophes.  Currently, we are close to setting the record for the latest snowfall in New York City history! 

    I saw an example of this firsthand back in January 2020 when I visited Australia.  Before diving in Cairns, the guide showed us pictures of the Great Barrier Reef coral sea bottom today and 10 years ago, and there were stark differences.  You could see the sad erosion of the beautiful coral over the past decade. 

    The year 2022 was one of the most tumultuous climate disaster years in history, a year when we saw the massively destructive Hurricane Ian, an unprecedented number of tornadoes, growing wildfires in the West, and a “bomb cyclone” in late December.  The increasing number of natural disasters is not just a U.S. phenomenon as it is happening around the world.

    The increasing frequency and intensity of these natural disasters in the United States, combined with soaring inflation, supply chain issues, and labor shortages are having a drastic effect on homeowner’s insurance premiums.

    In the first 9 months of 2022 alone there were 15 separate billion-dollar weather and climate disasters:

    • Southern tornadoes: March 30
    • Southeastern tornadoes: April 4-6
    • Severe weather in the South: April 11-13
    • Western fires: Spring through fall
    • Severe weather in the South and Central U.S.: May 1-3
    • Hailstorms in north-central U.S.: May 9
    • Severe weather in the north-central U.S.: May 11-12
    • Hailstorms in north-central U.S.: May 19
    • Severe weather in Central U.S.: June 7-8
    • Central Derecho (an inland hurricane): June 13
    • Severe weather in north-central and Eastern U.S.: July 22-24
    • Flooding in Kentucky and Missouri: July 26-28
    • Hurricane Fiona: Sept. 17-18
    • Hurricane Ian: Sept. 28-30
    • Western drought and heatwave: All year

    This past December, we had the Christmas bomb cyclone (known as Winter Storm Elliot) that threw a blanket of arctic freeze across large swaths of the country, causing an estimated $5.4 billion in insured losses in 42 states, according to Karen Clark & Co.

    There are a few things to note about the list of calamities:

    1. You will notice that some of these events were “severe weather” that didn’t qualify as a hurricane. These severe weather events are starting to have as much destructive force as the primary perils.
    2. Much of the weather the U.S. is experiencing is more intensive and far-reaching than before. The nature of hurricanes is also changing: these storms have typically caused wind and storm-surge damage, but as they grow wetter, they are now causing more rain and flood damage on top of the other damage.
    3. Hurricanes are bringing flooding far beyond the coasts and into the central parts of states, such as in Florida and the Carolinas, according to the Swiss Re report.
    4. Drought is also a serious issue, particularly in how it affects wildfires and water supplies. Years of low rainfall and overuse have left the Colorado River a shadow of its former self, resulting in record low levels in Lake Mead and Lake Powell, the sites of two main dams that may soon stop producing water and electricity for millions of people.
    5. According to the Sept. 27, 2022 “U.S. Drought Monitor” report, about 51% of the contiguous U.S. was in drought, up about 5.4% from the end of August. Drought conditions expanded or intensified across portions of the Mississippi Valley, central and northern Plains, Northwest, Southeast and parts of the Great Lakes.

    As per Time Magazine’s website www.Time.com, a massive hurricane, drought, and 15 other natural disasters across the USA collectively racked up $165 billion in damages and killed at least 474 people in 2022. 

    According to NOAA, (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) 2022 was our nation’s third most expensive year for billion-dollar disasters following 2017 ($373.2 billion) and 2005 ($253.5 billion) based on NOAA’s metrics.

    Hurricane Ian was the year’s costliest catastrophe and the second-largest insured loss on record after Hurricane Katrina.  These events, plus the cost of repairing and rebuilding buildings and infrastructure are also on the rise thanks to increasing material and labor costs.  These factors are having a major effect on homeowners’ insurance.

    Homeowner insurance rates rose 12.1% on average nationwide in 2022 from the year prior; however, people living in disaster-prone areas are seeing much higher rates. In the case of Florida and California, many homeowners are unable to find insurance for their homes or face two, three or four-fold increases in their rates.

    You might be asking yourself what this all means.  It means homeowners should be shopping home and flood insurance rates every year.  It also means, before buying a new home, extra research needs to be done on homeowners and flood rates as well as surveys on elevation!  I was amazed to find out after Superstorm Sandy that the elevation on one side of the beach block on 137th street in Belle Harbor was 6 feet higher than the other side of the block.

    Feel free to reach out to me for competitive home and flood quotes at Rob@InsuranceDoctor.us.

  • The Dark Side of Chocolate

    The Dark Side of Chocolate

    We are in mid-January, still the time for New Year’s resolutions which are often health and fitness oriented.  Common resolutions are going to the gym X times per week and/or eating better.  My resolution is to drink more water, so I fill up 6 cups of water 24 ounces each in the morning and see how close I can get to finish them all by the end of the day. 

    Often, by the end of January, New Year’s resolution gym members wane.  I was reminded of this while watching a Peloton commercial during NFL games this Sunday.  Usually, I DVR (Digital Video Record) sporting events and watch them later without commercials; however, when I saw the new Peloton commercial, I decided to watch it.  I got a chuckle as they made fun of themselves by saying most exercise bikes become “coat racks” by February 1st, but NOT Peloton who boasts a 92% persistency rate. 

    What is your New Year’s resolution?  If it is to improve your diet, see below as this column is for you! 

    For years there were reports that dark chocolate is healthier than milk or white chocolate and some doctors went as far as saying one could eat a small piece of dark chocolate every day and be healthy.

    A new report from Consumer Reports blows the “dark chocolate is healthy” theory to smithereens!  I am not happy to write about this as I admit to being a “chocoholic!”

    According to market research firm Mintel, their survey reveals that about 15% of Americans eat chocolate every day.   Consumer Reports tested most of the popular brands of dark chocolate and found dangerous levels of lead and cadmium in most of them!  

    For many of us, chocolate is more than just a tasty treat.  It’s a reward after a tough day, a mood enhancer, an energy booster, and a popular gift, especially with Valentine’s Day right around the corner.  Many like myself, switched to dark chocolate for health benefits as it was reported to be high in antioxidants, good for your heart, and lower in sugar than milk and white chocolate.  

    There is also a “Dark Side” to the healthier chocolate theory.  Research has found that most dark chocolate bars contain high levels of cadmium and lead, two metals associated with numerous health problems in children and adults.  Apparently, the chocolate industry has been grappling with how to lower these high levels of heavy metals.  I’m all for heavy metal on the radio; however, I don’t want any in my chocolate!

    Their studies reported that while most of the bars they tested had high levels of cadmium and lead, there were only 5 bars tested that had low levels of each. So at least we know it is still possible to produce fairly healthy dark chocolate low in metals.

    According to “Chocolate Store,” Americans consume 2.8 billion pounds of chocolate each year, which averages out to 11 pounds per person.  Milk chocolate accounts for about 80% of all the chocolate that Americans consume daily.  Consumers spend more than $7 billion per year on chocolate!  Only white chocolate contains no caffeine; however, it has the highest levels of sugar and fat!

    Chocolate is made from the cacao bean, which has two major components, cocoa solids, and cocoa butter.  Together, they are called cacao or cocoa butter.  Cacao is packed with flavanols, which are antioxidants linked to reduced inflammation, improved blood vessel functions, and lower cholesterol.     

    Consumer Reports mentioned only 5 bars out of the 28 tested that passed muster.  They tested a variety of types of chocolate, brands, and different company sizes.  The only 5 were 1 each from companies called Mast, Taza, Vlarhona, and 2 bars from Ghirardelli (their 72% and 86% cacao bars). 

    Some bars that tested dangerously high above acceptable levels in heavy metals include but are not limited to:

    1.  Trader Joe’s (85% cacao) Chocolate lovers: Lead- 127% and Cadmium 229%
    2. Theo organic (85% cacao) extra dark: Lead- 140% and cadmium 189%
    3. Godiva (72% cacao) signature dark: Lead- 146% and cadmium 25%
    4. Hershey’s special dark mildly sweet: Lead- 265% and cadmium 30%
    5. Dove (70% cacao) promises deeper dark: Lead- 74% cadmium 112%

    Scientists are still trying to figure out how heavy metals are creeping into cacao.  In general, the darker the chocolate (higher levels of cacao) the higher the level of metals.  They suggest eating dark chocolate in moderation and trying those with lower cacao percentages.  Stay tuned!

  • The TV Wars: Cable vs Streaming

    Television has been around for a long time!  Kids today get a chuckle when they see the bulky old-school TVs with 2 antennas known as “rabbit ears,” and black and white TV. 

    Electronic television was first demonstrated by American Philo Farnsworth, known as “The Father of Television,” in San Francisco on September 7th, 1927.  The 21-year-old inventor lived in a house with no electricity until he was 14.

    In 2021, American Cable and pay TV providers generated total revenue of approximately $93 billion, up from $86.3 billion in 2020!  Advertising revenues have become mind-boggling during major events, such as the Super Bowl when it costs millions to run a 30 or 60-second ad.

    We are now in the Covid-19 era which has expedited the great unbundling of Television!  Because so many of us are now working from home, internet-based streaming services like Netflix, HBO Max, and YouTube TV have become more popular. 

    As the great Yogi Berra used to say, “When you come to a fork in the road, take it!”  What I mean by that is, when trying to decide among the many video services, it is likely you will come to a point of making a decision between cable television versus the various streaming services!

    While both cable TV and video streaming services provide the same result (entertaining video on your screen), the way they do so is vastly different.  Cable providers broadcast video content along their dedicated networks and have long-standing relationships with content providers.  Streaming providers on the other hand are newcomers to the video market, and they aren’t bound by the same rules.  They can offer their services nationwide, and you can use their services with a variety of electronic devices. 

    In the early days of Television, it was common for families to have dinner together at 7 pm and be seated in front of the living room Television for the 8 pm movie special on network TV.  Today, with the advent of the DVR (digital video recorder) and streaming video on phones and tablets, it is more common for everyone to do their own thing after dinner. 

    The best way to compare these two different methods of delivering video entertainment is by using a chart.  See below:

    Cable Streaming
    Picture quality Excellent HD No control, based on internet
    Content available Hundreds of channels Fewer channels
    Choices available Few cable monopolies Many streaming combinations
    Ease of use Need set-up box Used by any internet device
    Price More expensive Less pricey can mix and match
    Extra costs Set-up box & DVR Premium channels for add-ons
    Discounts If you add net/phone Can password share to save money
    Contracts Usually 1-year contract No contracts, month to month
    Portability Phone app Anywhere you have internet access

    You are probably asking yourself, which video service is better?  The answer is it depends!  If your family lives in a low-quality internet area and/or there are many family members watching different programs at the same time, stick with the traditional cable TV package.  It is frustrating in poor internet areas to have your TV constantly buffering.

    That being said, there is little to lose by trying streaming services.  There is no extra equipment to buy and if you don’t like the services you are getting, you can cancel it at the end of 30 days or try a different provider. 

    Should you not like streaming services after a few months, usually you can switch back to cable and get their discounted introductory subscriber rates.  Like many banks and insurance companies, cable providers will offer new customers lower prices than their existing subscribers.  This is why it is usually worth a face-to-face visit to your local cable provider store once per year to shop your package and pricing.  Good luck with whichever choice you make!